Author: Drake Taphorn

Taphorn’s Twelve Pack: NFL Week 2 Bets

This write-up will feature twelve weekly betting lines (The Twelve Pack). Six NFL Week 2 bets I like will be broken up into half units, full units and double units. The additional six lines will be lines to stay away from.
Week 1 Record: 3-3; -3.0 units
6 NFL Week 2Bets I Like:
1. Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -11.5. The Falcons were manhandled by the Eagles in Week 1 and Jalen Hurts looked great. Tampa didn’t play the cleanest game against Dallas in the opener but turned it on when it was needed. Expect Tampa’s defensive line to dominate the Falcons and Brady and the offense to try and clean things up. Bet amount: 1 unit
2. San Francisco 49ers -3.5 at Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles dominated the Falcons in the trenches, but that Falcons team is more likely to pick top five than to make the playoffs.
The Niners bullied Detroit up until the two-minute warning when the Lions decided they’d try and play spoiler to any San Francisco backers. I expect Kyle Shannahan to exploit the Eagles secondary and the Niners to move to 2-0. Bet amount: 2 units.
3. Denver Broncos -6 at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Broncos were one of the weeks most impressive teams, beating the Giants handily in the Meadowlands. Trevor Lawrence and Urban Myer had a rough awakening in the NFL against a Houston team that may not find much success the rest of the year. Look for Vic Fangio’s defense to confuse and test Lawrence again this week. Bet amount: 1 unit.
4. Minnesota Vikings at Arizona Cardinals -3.5
Another matchup of teams that performed on opposite ends of the spectrum. The Vikings rallied back against the Bengals, only to lose in overtime after a Dalvin Cook fumble, while the Cardinals looked unstoppable in Nashville against the Titans. Joe Burrow had no problems picking apart Minnesota’s defense and I don’t expect Kyler Murray to either. Bet amount: ½ unit.
5. Dallas Cowboys +134 at Los Angeles Chargers
Dak Prescott showed no signs of rust against the Buccaneers in the season opener. The Cowboys played Week 1 without Zack Martin and get him back for Week 2, but may be without La’el Collins, Michael Gallup, Randy Gregory and Demarcus Lawrence.
The Chargers won on the road in D.C., but Ryan Fitzpatrick left the offense in a tough place exiting with a hip injury. This game should be a duel between the quarterbacks and Prescott edges out Justin Herbert by a small margin. Bet amount: ½ unit.
6. Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 at Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have the injury bug and Lamar Jackson has the turnover bug. The Chiefs have had Baltimore’s number in recent history and showed last week that they can turn it on at a moment’s notice. Mahomes hasn’t lost a game in September in his career and has been utterly dominant. Bet amount: 2 units.
6 NFL Week 2 Bets to Avoid:
1. New York Giants at Washington Football Team -3
Defensive slop fest. That’s what to expect in this game. Despite the Giants investments in […]

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Taphorn’s Twelve Pack: NFL Week One

This write-up will feature twelve weekly betting lines (The Twelve Pack). Six bets I like will be broken up into half units, full units, and double units. The additional six lines will be lines to stay away from. Each week I’ll also feature a special bonus bet from the little degenerate birdie that whispers ideas in my ear.

NFL adds four additional sportsbooks

6 NFL Week One Bets I Like
1. San Francisco 49ers -7.5 at Detroit Lions
My first two picks in the week one lineup are centered around the two teams that are likely to be vying for the first overall pick in 2022.
Dan Campbell takes over the Lions, in need of a big culture change, but that takes time. Regardless of which quarterback starts, Kyle Shannahan will be excited to have a healthy roster and the game should reflect that. Bet amount: 1 unit.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars -3 at Houston Texans
The team most likely to finish 2021 without a win. No, not the Jaguars. Houston traded DeAndre Hopkins a year ago and JJ Watt this year, and Deshaun Watson is currently sitting out by choice and dealing with the legal fallout of offseason allegations. The team is a mess, and despite a very poor start to the preseason, Trevor Lawrence and Urban Myer looked like they may be in decent shape. Bet amount: 2 units.
3. Minnesota Vikings -3 at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals chose to draft Jamar Chase instead of Penei Sewell this past spring despite the porous offensive line in front of Joe Burrow. Burrow is coming off a torn ACL and has looked a bit rusty leading into the season.
Mike Zimmer was horrified by the defensive product on the field a season ago and will want to start the season off right. A healthy dose of Dalvin Cook offensively and the Vikings should cover with ease. Bet amount: 2 units.
4. Denver Broncos -2.5 at New York Giants
The Broncos announced they’re running with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback, hoping he can be the answer to their biggest roster hole. The defense under Vic Fangio should be fantastic with Von Miller back and the additions of guys like Kyle Fuller and Patrick Surtain II on the back end.
New York spent mightily in the offseason, but the offensive line looks like it’s going to be a problem. Expect Von Miller and Bradley Chubb to harass Daniel Jones early and often. Bet amount: ½ unit.
5. Green Bay Packers -4 vs New Orleans Saints (Jacksonville)
The Saints spent the offseason figuring out who the replacement for Drew Brees would be and Sean Payton has decided on Jameis Winston for week one. Hurricane Ida has left the Saints without a home field for the first month of the season, so this game is being played in Jacksonville.
Michael Thomas starts the season on PUP, as does Packers left tackle David Bakhtiari. Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers was the center of drama in the NFL, but all signs point to opposing defenses feeling the wrath of his rage against the front office. […]

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