Check out our free Browns vs Panthers prediction for the NFL week 1 game in Charlotte. See who USA Wager likes to win and cover the spread in this football game. And, get our insight into the best over-under point total bet.
Browns vs Panthers Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1
On Sunday, September 11th, the Cleveland Browns travel to take on the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. This Non-Conference matchup is set to kickoff at 1:00 PM ET, and will be televised on CBS.
The odds for this game opened with the Browns as the -4.0 point road favorite. The Cleveland Browns opened with a payout of -188 on the moneyline, compared to the current odds of -116. On the other side, Carolina opened by getting 158 on the moneyline. Their current moneyline odds sit at -105.
Heading into Sunday’s game, the odds suggest this will be a close matchup. Will Cleveland pull off the win as a slight road favorite? Or, will Carolina take care of business at home? Keep reading to USA Wager’s Browns vs Panthers prediction.
- Spread: CLE -1.5 | CAR 1.5
- MoneyLine: CLE -116 | CAR -105
- Total: 42.0
Browns vs Panthers Prediction: Spread
Looking back to last year, Cleveland covered the spread in less than half of their games, going just 7-10-0 ATS. The Browns inconsistent performance vs the spread came while being favored in 10 of their games.
Similar to their overall ATS record, betting the Browns on the road provided mixed results as they covered at a rate of 50.0%. Cleveland ended these games with a scoring differential of +1.71 points.
During the 2021-2022 regular season, Carolina struggled against the spread, finishing with an ATS record of 5-12-0. This performance came while entering a majority of their games as the betting underdog. Overall, the Carolina Panthers were favored just 7 times.
Like their overall ATS record, taking the Panthers to cover the spread at home was a losing bet, as they covered at a rate of just 25.0%. In these games, Carolina had a negative average scoring differential of -7.11 points.
Heading into the game, the Cleveland Browns are the slight favorite, with a spread sitting at -1.5. Look for Cleveland to cover on the road. A key reason that the Browns will go on to cover the spread is that the offense has an excellent matchup vs a Carolina defense that ranked 21st in points allowed per game (23.8).
Even though last year’s team finished with a below average scoring offense, look for them to come up with enough points to cover the spread. Cleveland should find success through the passing game, as opposing quarterbacks put together a combined passer rating of 92.58 vs the Panthers defense (2021-2022).
Free Spread Prediction: Carolina Panthers 1.5
Browns vs Panthers Prediction: Total
The Cleveland Browns come into this season off a 2021-2022 campaign in which they finished with an over-under mark of 7-10-0. This week’s betting line of 42.0, is similar to the average over-under line of last year’s team at 45.44 points. Overall, 13 of their games had over-under lines set higher than this week’s figure.
The Cleveland Browns accounted for less than half of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season at 48.0%. This trend includes games that surpassed the over-under betting line, where Cleveland was responsible for 46.0% of the points.
When playing on the road, the Browns finished the season averaging 22.38 points per game, right in line with their season average of 20.5. Overall, the team’s defense had their problems on the road, where they allowed 26.75 points per game, compared to their overall figure of 21.82.
Last season, Carolina had an over-under record of 8-9-0. This week’s betting line of 42.0, is similar to the average over-under line of last year’s team at 43.62 points. However, 71.0% of their contests had betting lines higher than this week’s figure.
The Carolina Panthers accounted for less than half of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season at 43.0%. This trend includes games that surpassed the over-under betting line, where the Carolina Panthers were responsible for 42.0% of the points.
When playing at home, the Panthers finished the season averaging 18.12 points per game, right in line with their season average of 17.9. Overall, the team’s defense gave up an average of 23.76 points per game, similar to their home figure of 23.5.
Heading into this week’s matchup between the Cleveland Browns and the Carolina Panthers, the over under line is set at 42.0 points. If looking to place a wager on this line, it is recommended to take the under. The Browns could be limited in the passing game, as they finished last year ranked 27th yards through the air. In addition, they will be facing last year’s 4th ranked secondary.
Free Total Prediction: Under 42.0
Check out this post for a full list of our weekly NFL predictions