Check out our free Patriots vs Packers prediction for the NFL week 4 game in Green Bay. See who USA Wager likes to win and cover the spread in this football game. And, get our insight into the best over-under point total bet.
Patriots vs Packers Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 4
On Sunday, October 2nd, the New England Patriots travel to take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. This Non-Conference matchup is set to kickoff at 4:25 PM ET, and will be televised on CBS.
Heading into Sunday’s game, Green Bay is the odds on favorite to come away with the win. Will they be able to take care of business at home? Or, does New England have what it takes to make things interesting? Keep reading to USA Wager’s Patriots vs Packers prediction.
- Spread: NE +9.5 | GB -9.5
- MoneyLine: NE 366 | GB +-478
- Total: 40.5
Patriots vs Packers Prediction: Spread
Heading into this week 4 contest against the Packers, the Patriots have a 1-2 record in the AFC. Currently, their overall record sits at 1-2 With this record, the team is in the bottom half of the league in point differential. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of -7.0 points per game. So far, the Patriots have been favored in 2 of their 3 games. The average point spread in these matchups is 2.75.
Through their last 5 road games, New England has an ATS record of just 0-4-1. However, their overall record was 1-4-0 while averaging 16.4 points per game. The Patriots have a straight up record of 1-4 in their previous 5 games as the underdog. Against the spread, they had a mark of 1-4.
Heading into this week 4 contest against the Patriots, the Packers have a 2-1 record in the NFC. Currently, their overall record sits a 2-1. This season, Green Bay currently has an average point differential of 1.0 points per game, placing them 13th in the league. Coming into this week’s action, the Packers will be the betting favorite for just the 2nd time this year. In the only other game as the favorite, the point spread was (-10.5, 2) points.
Green Bay has played well in their previous 5 home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 28.6 points per game while allowing 17.0. The team’s also performed well vs the spread at 3-2. Spanning across their last 5 games as the betting favorite, the Packers have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-2.
In this matchup, we suggest grabbing the Patriots on the spread as +9.5 point underdogs. On offense, look for the team’s 11th ranked passing attack to continue playing well on their way to covering the spread.
Free Spread Prediction: New England Patriots 9.5
Patriots vs Packers Prediction: Total
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Patriots have an over-under record of 1-2. For the season, the Patriots offense has been struggling, averaging just 16.67 points per game. Things haven’t gone any better on defense, where they are the 22nd ranked scoring defense in the NFL. On the other side, through 3 games, the Packers have yet to have a game surpass an over-under betting line, posting an OU mark of 0-3. The team’s over-under record has come while averaging just 16.0 points per game, placing them 27th in the league. However, the Green Bay has made things difficult for their opponents, giving up just 15.0 points per contest.
If looking to place a wager on the over-under, our projections see this game finishing with a total of 48 points, making the over the best bet.
Free Total Prediction: Over 40.5
Check out this post for a full list of our weekly NFL predictions